Markets

Robinhood’s August Crypto Volume Rose 61% but Sits 38% Below Last Year

Event contracts fell 23% from July even as they ran 15 times above a year ago. The bigger development landed after the data, when Kalshi said it would move into stock trading.

⏱ 3 min read Markets
Quick Summary
  • Robinhood's notional crypto trading volume rose 61% month over month to $17.5 billion in August, still 38% below the prior year's August figure of $28.1 billion.
  • Event contracts traded 4.7 billion times in August, roughly 15 times August 2025 levels, and already generated $156 million in quarterly revenue during the company's record Q2.
  • HOOD came under pressure across the week after Kalshi, one of Robinhood's own event contract partners, said it would seek approval to offer single-stock futures in the US.

Robinhood’s notional crypto trading volume rose 61% month over month to $17.5 billion in August, according to operating data the company released Thursday. The rebound follows a sluggish July, when volume sat at $10.9 billion. Despite the sharp monthly recovery, August’s total still came in 38% below the $28.1 billion Robinhood processed in August of the prior year.

Platform Breakdown

The Robinhood app itself handled $7.4 billion of that August volume, up 72% from July but still down 46% from a year ago. Bitstamp, the exchange Robinhood acquired in 2025, contributed the larger portion at $10.1 billion, up 53% month over month. Combined, the two platforms averaged $565 million a day in crypto trading activity.

A Much Bigger Balance Sheet

Crypto remains a relatively small slice of Robinhood’s overall business. Total platform assets reached $384 billion, up 26% year over year. Funded customers, defined as users who completed at least one transaction in the prior 45 days, grew to 28.6 million. Margin loans climbed to $21.5 billion, up 72% from a year earlier.

Prediction Markets Steal the Show

The standout figure in the August data is not crypto at all. Event contracts, Robinhood’s prediction market product covering outcomes like Federal Reserve decisions and football games, traded 4.7 billion times during the month. That figure is down 23% from July but roughly 15 times the 300 million contracts traded in August 2025.

Each contract functions as a binary wager: buy a ‘yes’ position for a few cents and collect $1 if correct, or lose the stake if wrong.

Prediction markets have become Robinhood’s breakout revenue line. The company’s record quarter reported in July showed event contract revenue surging more than tenfold year over year to $156 million, overtaking crypto as the top source of transaction income. Robinhood operates the product through partner exchanges Kalshi and ForecastEx, plus its own joint venture Rothera, which had processed more than 3.5 billion contracts since launching in June as of that quarterly report.

Legislative Scrutiny Mounts

The explosive growth in prediction markets has drawn attention on Capitol Hill. Lawmakers have introduced more than 10 bills since January targeting the space, including the PREDICT Act, which would bar members of Congress, the president, and other senior officials from trading contracts tied to political events. Critics argue that placing sports and political wagers alongside retirement accounts blurs the line between investing and gambling, a tension regulators are still working through.

Robinhood Chain Also Surges

Robinhood’s own blockchain is also gaining traction. Robinhood Chain, the company’s Ethereum layer 2 network, logged $1.6 billion in daily trading volume on decentralised exchanges as of September 1, up 61% in just four days.

Shares Dip Despite Analyst Upgrades

The operating data release did not lift Robinhood’s stock on Thursday. HOOD fell 0.83% on the day, even as analysts at Mizuho and StoneX raised their price targets this week citing the strength of the company’s broader growth trajectory. Robinhood’s next quarterly earnings report is expected November 4.

That single-day move understates a heavier week. Robinhood shares came under pressure after Kalshi said it would seek regulatory approval to offer single-stock perpetual futures in the United States, alongside commodities trading. Kalshi is one of the two partner exchanges through which Robinhood runs its own event contracts, so a supplier in its fastest-growing business is now moving into its oldest one.

⚖️ Our Verdict ⚖️ Watch and Wait

The crypto rebound is real, but it is a rebound from a poor July and the honest comparison is the annual one: August volume was 38% below the same month last year. Prediction markets are the genuine growth story and the year-on-year figure is extraordinary, though event contracts also fell 23% month over month, which the headline number hides. The development that matters most landed after this data did. Kalshi, one of the exchanges Robinhood runs its own event contracts through, has said it will seek approval to offer single-stock futures in the US. A supplier moving into your core business is a different order of risk from a slow month in crypto.